Sunday, 23 November 2014

India’s ministers should follow Mahatma Gandhi (Sunday Guardian)

MADHAV NALAPAT
ROOTS OF POWER
M.D Nalapat is the Editorial Director of The Sunday Guardian.

When he visited Washington, among the high points of Prime Minister Narendra Modi's visit was to see the statue of Mahatma Gandhi which is located in front of the embassy of India on Massachusetts Avenue. Recently in Australia, he was beaming with joy when he unveiled a statue of the Mahatma in Brisbane. Clearly, Narendra Modi has intense admiration for the global statesperson hailed as the "Father of the Nation". Thus far, however, many parts of India have made as little progress in their path towards prosperity as did one of Gandhiji's sons, Harilal, who died an anonymous pauper in a hospital bed after a lifetime of failure, apparently ignited by his father's principled refusal to send him for higher studies to the UK. It must be said that the Mahatma never sought to promote any member of his family in any position, moving in a sharply different direction from the nepotism shown by some of his contemporaries, such as Motilal Nehru, whose promotion of son Jawaharlal bore fruit, especially when the Mahatma himself saw to it that the younger Nehru rose steadily within the Congress party, until he was nominated as the country's first Prime Minister by Gandhiji, who openly claimed that Nehru would, after he himself was gone, "speak his language".


"It is against the tenets of the Mahatma, for our ministers to live in ultra-luxurious circumstances when the people of this country are still eking out a living far from that needed to preserve their dignity. The Mahatma himself travelled third-class and lived in very humble surroundings." 
We do not know what exactly this "language" was, and so are a bit clueless about the extent to which Nehru's policies actually reflected those favoured by the Mahatma. However, it can be said with certainty that Gandhiji must have been distressed when he saw those who had replaced the British making a beeline for the bungalows and offices vacated by the former colonial masters of India. It is bizarre that in a country as poor as India, "servants of the people" (i.e. ministers) reside in palaces which cost Rs 300-400 crore on the market and sometimes more. It is ethically wrong; it is against the tenets of the Mahatma for our ministers to live in such ultra-luxurious circumstances when the people of this country are still eking out a living far from that needed to preserve their dignity. Indeed, when the Mahatma himself travelled third-class and usually lived in very humble surroundings, it is unconscionable that those "serving the people" enjoy a standard of life far, far in excess of that endured by the average citizen. Not merely in their places of stay, but in the matter of other colonial-era privileges as well, what needs to be done is for Prime Minister Modi to do what Jawaharlal Nehru and his successors failed to do, which is to ensure that ministers be treated the same way as other citizens in, for example, airport lines. This columnist had the privilege of travelling a few seats away from former Planning Commission Deputy Chairperson Montek Ahluwalia during an international flight, who for a decade and more would have had access to the "VIP channel" at Delhi airport. Shrugging off his present lowly status as a part of civil society rather than a big honcho in the Civil Service, the former Central planner cheerfully waited his turn in line. So should he have while in office, and so should those now in office do likewise.
This columnist is clueless about just what there was in the "language" of Jawaharal Nehru that was identical to that of Mahatma Gandhi. Indeed, looking at the simple conditions in then Chief Minister Modi's official residence at Gandhinagar as compared with the opulence of Teen Murti House, it would appear that Modi has been closer to the Mahatma's desire for simplicity than some others (who claim to be his most devoted followers) have been.
Presumably now that he is Prime Minister, Modi's living quarters must be of comparable simplicity, even if within the spacious confines of 5-7 Race Course Road. It would therefore be fitting if the Prime Minister were to request his ministerial colleagues to move out of the British-era mansions they now inhabit, into simple accommodation not too different from that of the citizens on whose behalf they are presumed to be functioning. Our ministers should follow Mahatma Gandhi, not just on designated days and before television cameras, but in their lifestyles.
http://www.sunday-guardian.com/analysis/indias-ministers-should-follow-mahatma-gandhi

Saturday, 22 November 2014

‘Reports of Modi declining Xi invite wrong’ (Sunday Guardian)

MADHAV NALAPAT  New Delhi | 22nd Nov 2014
Senior officials are surprised at reports in both the Chinese as well as Indian media that Prime Minister Narendra Modi declined a personal invitation from President Xi Jinping to attend the just-concluded Asia Pacific Economic Cooperation (APEC) conference in Beijing. An official pointed out that "there was no invite from President Xi to PM Modi to attend the APEC meeting", despite India not being a part of the 21-member group, which includes Russia, China, Japan, the United States and even Indonesia. Instead, "the invite was to attend a pre-APEC meeting, to which countries such as Tajikistan, Pakistan, Mongolia and Laos were invited", besides India. This meeting, according to the officials queried, "had no connection with APEC whatsoever" and was held "principally to rally support for the Chinese proposal of a New Silk Road and a Maritime Silk Road". It was therefore "misleading to claim that Prime Minister Modi had declined an invite to APEC, when in fact such an invite never existed". In view of the global heft of India, "clearly the Prime Minister of India can go to an APEC meeting only after our country becomes a full member". At present, India does not even have observer status within the grouping.
Officials spoken to hoped that "President Xi would take the initiative to get India included in APEC". They were confident that such an initiative would get the support of Russia, Australia, the US and Japan "as these countries are close friends of India". Asked about the Chinese proposal for a New Silk Road, these officials pointed out that such a highway would pass through "some of the most unstable and disturbed areas of Pakistan", and that therefore "security on such a road would be difficult to assure". As for the Maritime Silk Road, the Indian side was awaiting "more details of the proposal" before taking a decision on participation. The pre-APEC meeting, to which Prime Minister Modi was invited, discussed various ways in which China and the participating countries could enhance their economic linkage. It was pointed out that India favoured "full freedom of navigation within the region, and has itself adopted such a policy all across the Indian Ocean". Hence, any efforts to restrict freedom of navigation in the South China Seas would be a "matter of concern".
Senior officials pointed out that there was "sound logic" in India becoming a full member of APEC, as geopolitically, the Indian Ocean and the Pacific Ocean formed a single strategic entity, with common interests and facing the same threats. "India, as in the case of Indonesia, naturally belongs to such a grouping, because of its huge coastline", an official pointed out, adding that "in case the Chinese seem hesitant to initiate the entry of India into APEC, discussions may take place with the US, Japan and Australia" so as to ensure that these littoral countries sponsor India's membership. "Prime Minister Modi is very conscious of the need to ensure that both the dignity of India as well as national interest be protected at all times, hence the view that the Head of Government in India can attend an APEC meeting only if this country is made a full member". He added that he was hopeful that such a decision would "soon get taken by the organisation, in view of India's importance as both a maritime power as well as a security and economic partner".
"Prime Minister Modi believes in quiet diplomacy, even though this may not generate the same level of approval of television anchors as high-decibel moves", a senior official said, pointing out that it was precisely such diplomacy which worked to resolve the standoff created by PLA incursions into Indian territory during the 17-19 September state visit of President Xi Jinping to India. Both during the evening of 17 September as well as on 18 September, Prime Minister Modi "pointed out (to President Xi) what was taking place on the border, and made it clear that such activity by the PLA would damage the prospects for close cooperation" between India and China. The official added that "President Xi was surprised (by the PLA moves) and promised to ensure that the matter got resolved by the restoration of the status quo". A senior colleague added that "President Xi kept his word by ensuring a PLA withdrawal within days of returning to Beijing". This step "showed that President Xi was sincere about better ties with India and that he would work to ensure that irritants in the relationship got eliminated". Thus far, the PLA's obsession with testing the patience of India has been a major obstacle to the development of a comprehensive economic and security partnership with China, in a context where both seek faster economic development and security from religious extremism. "Had Prime Minister Modi resorted to high-decibel rather than quiet diplomacy, the border standoff may not have been resolved so soon", an official added, stating that "silent but effective diplomacy is the Prime Minister's style".
The officials pointed out that The Sunday Guardian report of 14 September (Xi to Abe, $35 billion is peanuts) on the extent of potential Chinese investment in India was "broadly accurate", adding that on 26 November, "a hundred-member delegation of top Chinese businesspersons including Jack Ma is coming to India to discuss investment possibilities". In the view of an official, "the target of $100 billion of inward investment and $100 billion in loans to Indian companies was realistic", given the size of India's market and need for finance. He pointed out that "already agreements have been worked out with SBI and ICICI for co-financing" and that "more are to follow". A colleague pointed out that now, Chinese tourists were given visas "within 48 hours" and that tour groups in India needed to connect with their Chinese counterparts to ensure a potential annual flow of 2 million Chinese tourists into India.
Overall, the view was that President Xi Jinping was "a man of his word" and that he was succeeding in gaining control of the military and ensuring that in future PLA adventurism would not be an obstacle to a comprehensive economic relationship between India and China that would boost growth in both. "In this context, the trust and chemistry between Prime Minister Modi and President Xi will play an important role", a senior official claimed.
http://www.sunday-guardian.com/news/reports-of-modi-declining-xi-invite-wrong

Saturday, 15 November 2014

Modi effect, not RBI, tames food inflation (Sunday Guardian)

MADHAV NALAPAT  New Delhi | 15th Nov 2014
Senior officials say that food inflation has been moderated not by the high interest rate policy of the Reserve Bank of India (which in practice has boosted inflation and slowed growth), but by changes in policy carried out by Prime Minister Narendra Modi.
These include changes in procurement policy, as well as in the harnessing of technology for empowerment of genuine producers rather than financial and other middlemen. Even as RBI Governor Raghuram Rajan continued to effectively downsize the manufacturing base of India by a policy of super-high interest rates, Prime Minister Modi quietly used the interregnum between his Washington meeting with President Barack Obama and the G-20 summit in Australia to implement reforms in food procurement designed to reduce waste and increase market supplies, thereby lowering consumer prices. It was because of these reforms, officials say, that it was possible for India to agree to the WTO Trade Facilitation Agreement without any threat to the interests of genuine farmers, as distinct from food commodity speculators who are estimated to have collectively made windfall profits of $8 billion during just the second term of the UPA. The ten years when Manmohan Singh was Prime Minister, have been days of darkness for the common man, but "bahut acche din" for speculators and the international financial institutions assisting them. It needs repeating that where the UK and the US have collectively imposed fines of nearly $20 billion on such institutions for doing precisely the sort of trades and transactions commonplace in India, thus far the only response of the RBI has been to give such entities privileged access to its highest levels.
Modi has restricted MSP increases for wheat and paddy to an economically bearable Rs 50/qtl, which is a third lower than the UPA's 10-year average of Rs 75/qtl. He has also restricted the powers of state governments to announce bonuses for MSP, a step which has affected BJP-ruled states as well. Chhattisgarh, for example, added Rs 300/qtl for paddy, as did Kerala, while Rajasthan and Madhya Pradesh added Rs 150/qtl as bonus for wheat, all during the 2013-14 season. All this when these states had no need of the excess procurement, and "succeeded" only in driving up market prices for food grains because of reduced availability, even while buffer grain stocks rose to 49 million tonnes in FY 2014-15, or 133% higher than the required stock of 21 million tonnes. The wastage this has led to is regarded by a senior official as "criminal and incalculable".
Prime Minister Modi went further, by ignoring pressure from powerful agriculture mafias comprising commodity speculators and "mock" farmers (i.e. those who stay in the city, but operate giant agricultural operations for profit and for tax purposes). He limited the levy ratio on rice mills to 25%, thereby freeing more grain for the market. These steps have damaged the ability of hoarders and speculators to boost prices, and have led to a cooling off of rice and wheat prices in the market, which has nothing to do with the RBI's textbook reliance on monetary policy as a dampener to inflation, despite overwhelming empirical evidence to the contrary.
Senior officials say that there is "great chemistry" between Prime Minister Modi and US President Barack Obama, and that work on reconciling the positions of the US and India on the WTO standoff began immediately after the PM's meeting with Obama, subsequent to India's refusing to ratify the Trade Facilitation Agreement without ensuring food security safeguards for its poor. Officials said that "backroom negotiations in Geneva took place between the two sides", and that "Obama finally asked his team to agree to Prime Minister Modi's request for a permanent waiver rather than just a 4-year peace clause". This request had been conveyed by Modi to Obama in their September meeting in the White House. These officials say that the PM is keen to ensure that "other anomalies" get corrected, such as "outdated reference prices used to calculate subsidies". These prices have been arbitrarily fixed at 1986-87 levels that bear no relation to the speculator-boosted prices prevalent since Bill Clinton re-opened the doors to financial fraud in the 1990s that had been shut by President Franklin Roosevelt in the 1930s.
Senior officials say that they have been "energised by the innovative approach of Prime Minister Modi", which they compare to the "Can't Do Much" approach of his predecessor, and look towards success in other negotiations, such as crafting a stable and mutually beneficial relationship with China and winning India a permanent seat in the UN Security Council. They say that "Prime Minister Modi is looking at ways to ensure that India makes a significant contribution towards reducing climate damage, even while avoiding any damage to the country's growth prospects". The WTO deal, made possible by both the reforms initiated by Prime Minister Modi as well as the chemistry he shares with Barack Obama, is clearly only a first step in what these officials say will be "the long road to Middle Income status" for the people of India.

Ms Irani, India needs German, Chinese and Spanish (Sunday Guardian)

MADHAV NALAPAT
ROOTS OF POWER
M.D Nalapat is the Editorial Director of The Sunday Guardian.
Union HRD Minister Smriti Irani, with FICCI Senior VP Jyotsna Suri (2R), US’ South Carolina Governor Nikki Haley (R), UK Universities Minister Greg Clark (L), releases a knowledge paper during the FICCI Higher Education Summit in New Delhi on Thursday. PT
When it was announced that Smriti Irani was being elevated to the Union Cabinet and given the Human Resource Development portfolio, to say that such a move was not universally hailed would be an understatement. The weeks ahead saw repeated references to her educational background, the presumption being that only a string of degrees would qualify an individual to be an effective HRD Minister. This despite the fact, that the country is littered with those carrying trainloads of qualifications, who are proving to be less than stellar in their work. Raghuram Rajan is an example. Despite — or perhaps because of — his academic pedigree, the Reserve Bank of India Governor has continued the high interest rate policy of both his predecessors, thereby ensuring that company after company be rendered unable to compete domestically or internationally, with several ending up in the non-performing asset books of public sector banks. There is much buzz about a "Harvard degree", with few pointing out that what is usually needed to acquire such a distinction is not IQ, but parents who have the financial means to spend more than $400,000 on their ward's education in that well-funded institution.
In contrast to the doomsday prophets, this columnist was glad that Smriti Irani was made the Union HRD Minister. Education in India needs to get modernised, and Minister Irani is certainly modern. Hence the expectation that she would bring at least a whiff of the 21st century into what is still a cram-filled 18th century educational process in India, a system that has stamped out excellence so effectively that no university in India comes anywhere near desirable standards of global excellence. A dull uniformity has been imposed across the spectrum of higher education, with almost no discretion given to universities in matters both academic as well as administrative. What is needed is to free higher education from micro-management, and convert the University Grants Commission into an institution, not focusing on control, as on coming up with innovative ideas by ensuring that those wedded to innovation and excellence occupy its highest offices rather than bureaucrats obsessed with detail to the exclusion of the bigger picture. Hopefully, Minister Irani will work on this, so as to fulfil Prime Minister Narendra Modi's agenda of "Minimum Government, Maximum Governance". In such a context, it was a surprise when the HRD Ministry abandoned — in midstream — the teaching of German in around 500 Kendriya Vidyalaya schools across the country, replacing that language with Sanskrit.
Sanskrit certainly needs encouragement, and a good way of doing so would be to set up an academy on the lines of the Goethe Institute, Confucius Centre or the Alliance Francaise, which would be tasked with teaching Sanskrit across the globe. Meanwhile, in India as in other countries, the decision as to what foreign language to learn should be left to the student rather than to the state. Most likely, the Goethe Institute will now look towards private schools (for example, the many run by the Catholic Church or by the Anglo-Indian associations) as alternative vehicles for the teaching of a language, mastery of which would enable tens of thousands of our youth to get jobs in German companies across the globe, thereby depriving the Kendriya Vidyalayas of an advantage. Instead of blocking access to the German language, what the HRD Minister needs to do is to ensure that facilities get created for school students to learn those foreign languages, which would help them get jobs, such as Chinese or Spanish.Additionally, facilities need to get created to teach Portuguese to those looking at migrating to Brazil, a country in need of teachers, nurses, engineers and other skilled manpower. Perhaps Russia could be tapped to ensure the teaching of Russian so as to ensure that more people from this country settle in that vast country of immeasurable potential.
Forcing choices on students by fiat is a style of governance alien to the philosophy of governance of Prime Minister Modi, and as the minister in charge of a portfolio crucial to the future of hundreds of millions of young people, Smriti Irani needs to not only avoid blocking German in schools, but adding to the mix Chinese, Spanish and other foreign languages of value in the job markets of the future, thereby giving students more, rather than less, choices in schools across the country.


Thursday, 13 November 2014

Nikki Haley’s India visit strategically important: MD Nalapat (NitiCentral)

NOV 13, 2014
South Carolina’s Governor Nikki Haley is on a 10-day trip to India with plans to boost foreign direct investment, jobs and tourism in her state. Haley and her delegation will be meeting business entities across New Delhi, Amritsar, Mumbai, Hyderabad and Chennai in order to map South Carolina as an investment arena and boost infrastructure.
Prof MD Nalapat says this trip could be an important opportunity for Indian knowledge business and infrastructure to provide for Haley’s investment plans in her state.
He adds that this visit is crucial to reinforce India-US bilateral ties as two business systems like India and US having tremendous synergy with each other, are a natural fit to each other.

Wednesday, 12 November 2014

Baghdadi dead or alive (NitiCentral)



According to news report ISIS Chief Abu Bakr al-Baghdadi is dead. Listen to Prof Nalapat who says the report can be true as no video of Baghdadi has surfaced. Baghdadi, was “critically wounded” in the American-led air strike that targeted the western Iraqi border town of al-Qaim. He feels this will be a big blow to the Islamic State. And on the question of Al-Qaeda and ISIS joining hands is considered, they have always been one. Al-Qaeda provided them with arms and ammunition.

http://www.niticentral.com/2014/11/12/baghdadi-dead-alive-244675.html

Saturday, 8 November 2014

Barack Obama needs India, and how (Sunday Guardian)

MADHAV NALAPAT
ROOTS OF POWER
M.D Nalapat is the Editorial Director of The Sunday Guardian.


Obama needs to create a synergy between the US and India in healthcare , in the production of affordable medication, treatment and transcription.
US President Barack Obama hosts a luncheon for bi-partisan Congressional leaders in the Old Family Dining Room at the White House in Washington, on Friday. REUTERS
That Barack Obama is among the most cerebral of US Presidents is a given, and not merely when compared to his predecessor. His books reveal a brilliant mind, but one clearly focused on a single goal: the promotion of the career of the child of a Kenyan father and a US mother. Each paragraph, almost each word, has been chiselled in order to show the current US President in the hues in which he would like the world to regard him, as the idealist who has beaten the odds to bring light where till now there has only been darkness. Tracking Obama in his policy peregrinations and in his statements, it is clear that the only thing he holds dear is his own career. Now that he has won what is still the most coveted responsibility on the globe, his attention needs to get focused on another — albeit related — objective, which is to ensure a legacy which would put him in the top tier of US Presidents, together with (in the view of this columnist) George Washington, Franklin Roosevelt, Abraham Lincoln, Lyndon Johnson and Richard Nixon. Why the latter two? Because the Civil Rights Act would never have been passed without a decade or more of turmoil on the streets without Johnson, although all that he finally did was to replace the agitation for civil rights with that designed to end the war in Vietnam. As for Nixon, he upended global geopolitics by embracing China in order to smother the USSR. While Ronald Reagan is usually given credit for outspending Moscow, the fact is that it was Nixon's use of Beijing against Moscow which terminally weakened the world's other giant communist state.
The Republican Party claim that it was the healthcare which derailed President Obama's popularity, is wrong. The defeat of Democratic candidates for Senator, Governor and House Representative in the just-concluded polls is indicative of the fact that President Obama erred in accepting the nostrums of the financial industry.
This resulted in a swathe of foreclosures of homes in a manner which was nothing less than inhuman. At far less cost that the subsidies meted out to a few banks and financial institutions, most US homeowners could have held on to their homes, for example, if the US government had taken care of interest payments for a few years at mandatorily reduced levels and given breathing time for homeowners to either find the money to pay off their mortgages or to sell their assets at a price which reflected not the distress of 2008 but the recovery of 2011.
By throwing millions of such people to the vultures, who held their mortgages, Obama showed that the concern for the underprivileged that he constantly wore on his sleeve would not last an encounter with Wall Street. It was only towards the end of his first term in office that President Obama retraced his policy of Clinton-era backing for the financial industry, but not by enough to make a substantive difference. The disaster of housing will be followed by another on health, unless Barack Obama accepts that the solution to his legacy (of affordable healthcare for all) vests with India. He needs to stop seeking to drive away from US and other markets the products of the Indian pharmaceutical industry, or to pressurise governments in Delhi into making concessions which would assist pharma giants based in Europe and the US to ensure that thousands of the poor get killed each month, because they cannot afford medicine at the cost offered. If Barack Obama succeeds in killing the generic drugs industry in India and thereby boost prices of medicines substantially, it is his own budget which would be a prime victim. Rather, Obama needs to create synergy between the US and India in healthcare, not simply in the production of affordable medication, but in other steps such as treatment and transcription.
Thus far, he has acted as an agent of pharma giants, the way in which he took the line of financial giants in the past. Only a US-India healthcare alliance can ensure that "affordable and universal" healthcare can be both affordable and universal in the country whose voters have just administered a severe electoral rebuke to Barack Obama and his tango with billionaires, rather than with the millions who stood by him in two presidential elections.